Timor-Leste’s Renewable Energy Roadmap

Scinergy Pacific played a crucial role in developing Timor-Leste’s Renewable Energy Roadmap by providing techno-economic analysis and advisory support. A key component of this work was preparing the Least Cost Plan (LCP) for the electricity sector, which evaluated supply and demand-side configurations to achieve the country’s renewable energy targets for 2030 and 2050.

Project Overview

The analysis considered system costs, tariff impacts, subsidy requirements, fossil fuel savings, carbon emissions reductions, and job creation. Additionally, the LCP outlined recommendations for replacing aging diesel generators, improving system operations, and upgrading storage and network infrastructure.

Scinergy Pacific’s primary responsibility was developing a least-cost capacity expansion model and an interactive web-based user interface to support decision-making. The project began with consultations with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) and the Government of Timor-Leste (GoTL) to clarify objectives and collect essential data. The team conducted a validation workshop to verify power system data before proceeding with load forecasting. This process involved modelling three demand scenarios based on economic growth, electrification, demographic trends, energy efficiency, and demand management.

Using the Python for Power System Analysis (PyPSA) framework, Scinergy Pacific created a tailored least-cost capacity expansion model, optimizing costs while integrating renewable energy. The team generated scenarios for 2025–2050, conducting economic and financial analyses to help stakeholders assess investment opportunities. Capacity-building workshops were held for Electricidade de Timor-Leste (EDTL) and GoTL, providing training and long-term support to ensure effective use of the models. Finally, Scinergy Pacific integrated the least-cost model into the Renewable Energy Roadmap and provided detailed reporting and recommendations for future energy planning and investment.